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Bullish RSI Divergence: definition and measured success rate
Data as of 31.07.2026 · back-test since 06/2019
A bullish RSI divergence occurs when price makes a lower low but the RSI momentum indicator makes a higher low. Selling pressure is fading even though the chart still shows new lows — an early warning that the downtrend is tiring. In chartval's back-test, it worked in 56 of 100 comparable cases (10,350 occurrences).
How does a bullish rsi divergence form?
Momentum weakens before price turns. While the last decline still reaches a marginally lower level, it happens with measurably less force, visible as a higher RSI low. Divergences are warnings rather than complete reversal patterns, which is why they are best confirmed by a price trigger.
How reliable is the bullish rsi divergence?
In chartval's historical back-test across 274 stocks, ETFs and cryptocurrencies, the bullish rsi divergence reached a 5 percent move in the signal direction before a 5 percent counter-move in 56 of 100 cases (10,350 occurrences evaluated since 06/2019; data as of 31.07.2026). Past statistics are not a reliable indicator of future results.
Measurement: a case counts as a hit when price moved 5 percent in the signal direction before moving 5 percent against it, based on closing prices, within a maximum of 120 candles after the trigger.
How chartval detects the pattern
chartval compares confirmed price lows with the corresponding Wilder-RSI values and flags fresh divergences, graded by the size of the momentum gap. chartval scans 274 stocks, ETFs and cryptocurrencies daily; every signal names an entry, a target and the level at which the setup is invalidated.
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