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Bearish RSI Divergence: definition and measured success rate
Data as of 31.07.2026 · back-test since 08/2019
A bearish RSI divergence occurs when price makes a higher high but the RSI momentum indicator makes a lower high. The advance is running on less force than before — an early warning that the uptrend is tiring. In chartval's back-test, it worked in 47 of 100 comparable cases (13,814 occurrences).
How does a bearish rsi divergence form?
The final push to a new high happens with measurably less momentum, visible as a lower RSI peak. Buyers are thinning out even though the chart still looks strong. As with all divergences, confirmation through an actual price break matters more than the divergence itself.
How reliable is the bearish rsi divergence?
In chartval's historical back-test across 274 stocks, ETFs and cryptocurrencies, the bearish rsi divergence reached a 5 percent move in the signal direction before a 5 percent counter-move in 47 of 100 cases (13,814 occurrences evaluated since 08/2019; data as of 31.07.2026). Past statistics are not a reliable indicator of future results.
Measurement: a case counts as a hit when price moved 5 percent in the signal direction before moving 5 percent against it, based on closing prices, within a maximum of 120 candles after the trigger.
How chartval detects the pattern
chartval compares confirmed price highs with the corresponding Wilder-RSI values and flags fresh divergences, graded by the size of the momentum gap. chartval scans 274 stocks, ETFs and cryptocurrencies daily; every signal names an entry, a target and the level at which the setup is invalidated.
See where this pattern is forming right now
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